Democrat John Edwards bowed out of the race for the White House on Wednesday, saying it was time to step aside “so that history can blaze its path” in a campaign now left to Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama.I'm not sure what sort of an impact this has on the race. Of course Barack Obama seems like the natural safe haven for erstwhile Edwards supporters, but I've read arguments and seen statistics that seem to suggest that isn't true. It's an oversimplification to say that the Edwards people will gravitate towards the other "change" candidate--Edwards constituency was much more complicated than that. Many of them are populist-minded middle class and upper class folks who will probably lean towards Obama, but the working class folk who were attracted to Edward's promise to fight for their interests have proven to be Hillary supporters in the previous four primaries. I think that, barring an endorsement either way, Edwards supporters will break about even for the remaining two Democratic candidates.
What's interesting is that, in case of a brokered convention, Edwards may retain considerable "king-making" power. Though he's suspending his campaign, he is still on the ballot in many states, and will still gain delegates through Super Tuesday and beyond. If we don't have a nominee by the time the party rolls into Denver, Edwards may have enough delegates to effectively choose who the nominee will be.
I'm going to Santa Ana to the Orange Country Obama for President office. More on that later.
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